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UFC 326 Predictions: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Betting Guide & Odds

By Leon Travers

02 Mar 2026

Leon Travers02 Mar 2026

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11 years after their first fight, Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira face each other again in the main event of UFC 326
Holloway is putting his BMF title on the line in this main event
Get our breakdowns on the top fights and our predictions
See the latest UFC 326 betting promotions from trusted online sportsbooks

Max Holloway (c) vs. Charles Oliveira 2
Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Prediction
UFC 326 Promotions
Latest Holloway vs Oliveira Betting Odds

The Octagon returns to the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on March 7, 2026, delivering a monumental card guaranteed to bring the fireworks.

UFC 326 is headlined by a highly anticipated lightweight rematch for the symbolic BMF title, as Max ‘Blessed’ Holloway runs it back against submission specialist Charles ‘Do Bronx’ Oliveira.

In the co-main event, surging middleweight contender Caio Borralho looks to make a statement and defend his spot in the rankings against grappling phenom Reinier de Ridder.

Below is an expert breakdown of the main and co-main events, complete with our top UFC 326 predictions and high-value betting angles for MMA betting enthusiasts.

Max Holloway (c) vs. Charles Oliveira 2

Over a decade after their first encounter in 2015, which ended prematurely due to a freak neck injury to Oliveira, these two legends finally run it back.

Now, both men are former champions and guaranteed Hall of Famers. Holloway is putting his BMF title on the line after a spectacular run over the last two years, while Oliveira aims to prove that his elite submission game and refined Muay Thai are the ultimate equalizers at 155 pounds.

Max Holloway remains the gold standard for boxing volume and cardio in MMA. At lightweight, his power translates beautifully, and his chin remains famously durable.

His path to victory relies on defending the early takedowns, maintaining range, and drowning Oliveira in an avalanche of combinations as the fight enters the championship rounds.

‘Do Bronx’ is the most dangerous submission artist in UFC history, but his striking is equally lethal. Oliveira needs to march forward, use his teep kicks to the body, and force Holloway to the fence. The clinch will be Oliveira’s best friend here; if he can secure body locks or drag Max to the mat early, he can finish the fight very quickly.

The Betting Angle

Oliveira is notoriously dangerous in the first two rounds, but Holloway’s takedown defense has statistically been elite throughout his career. If Max survives the early storm, the momentum will swing drastically in his favor.

HugeStakes’ Prediction: Max Holloway by TKO (Round 4)

Holloway's pace will overwhelm Oliveira down the stretch. A prop bet on Holloway to win in Rounds 3-5 holds excellent value, as Oliveira tends to slow down when forced into a high-paced striking battle late in fights.

Caio Borralho vs. Reinier de Ridder Prediction

This middleweight clash is a grappler’s delight with massive rankings implications. Caio Borralho has been quietly destroying the 185-pound division with suffocating control and steadily improved striking.

He welcomes former ONE Championship double-champ Reinier de Ridder, who possesses some of the most specialized and lethal jiu-jitsu in the heavier weight classes.

This fight hinges entirely on who dictates the terms of the grappling exchanges. De Ridder is an opportunistic submission specialist. However, Borralho is incredibly strong for the division, boasts fantastic judo, and excels at top control.

If RDR cannot get Borralho to his back, he might find himself stuck underneath a heavier, more methodical top-control fighter.

Neither man is known as a pure one-punch knockout artist, but Borralho has the cleaner, more orthodox kickboxing. De Ridder often uses his striking purely to close the distance and initiate tie-ups.

The Betting Angle

While De Ridder is a massive threat if he takes the back, Borralho’s defensive grappling and physical strength should keep him safe. Borralho will likely win the striking exchanges at distance and choose when, or if, the fight goes to the ground.

Our Pick: Caio Borralho by Unanimous Decision.

Borralho is defensively sound enough to avoid the tricky submissions and will rack up control time and striking numbers on the scorecards. Expect a grinding, tactical victory for the Brazilian.

UFC 326 Promotions

Sign up with our Stake.com promo code HUGE, and you become eligible for two standout UFC 326 betting promotions with this sportsbook.

$25,000 UFC 326 Prize Pool: Back either fighter in the main event and win a share of $25,000 if your man wins in the first round.

Split Decision Refund: Get a refund of up to $250 if your pick loses via a split decision. With some hard-to-call match-ups on this card, this could be a popular promotion this weekend.

Latest Holloway vs Oliveira Betting Odds

If you’re thinking of having a wager on this weekend’s main event, we’ve looked at six leading crypto-friendly betting sites, and here are the odds for the fight winner.

Sportsbook	Max Holloway	Charles Oliveira
Stake.com	1.44	2.90
Shuffle.com	1.41	2.70
Duel.com	1.49	2.76
Gamdom.com	1.39	2.65
Razed.com	1.45	2.60
1xBet.com	1.47	2.70

All prices are correct as of Tuesday, 3rd of March, 2026.

Bettors who are on the side of Max ‘Blessed’ Holloway will get the most value at Duel.com. However, you should also consider Stake’s $25K prize pool promotion. If Max wins in the first round, the payout could be better on Stake.com.

Fans of ‘Do Bronx’ should head to Stake as well. It is offering much more value on Oliveira than any other sportsbook.